It is estimated that the demand for industrial robot reducer will reach 1.05 million units by 2025

As an indispensable transmission equipment in modernization, the speed reducer is widely used in various fields of the national economy. For the robot industry, the speed reducer is a crucial application link in the industrial chain, accounting for 33% -38% of the entire robot manufacturing cost. At present, the robotics industry has a good momentum of development, and the food industry is also undergoing a transformation towards smart and automation. In this environment, the speed reducer is expected to reach 1.05 million units by 2025. To this end, domestic manufacturers are increasing their efforts in the area of ​​distribution, including listed companies such as Qinchuan Machine Tool Co., Ltd., Shuanghuan Transmission Co., Ltd., and Han's Laser Co., Ltd., and have been catching up with the localization of reducers.

In recent years, with the rapid development of the domestic economy and the increase in the export volume of the heavy machinery industry, the development of the reducer industry as an important basic industry has been extremely rapid. Due to the force from the downstream market, reducer companies are now expanding their production and sales scales, and their processing capacity and technology levels have continued to increase. The industry outlook for the future reducer market will be excellent. According to the increase in the sales and retention of industrial robots, it is expected that by 2025, the demand for industrial robot reducers will reach 1.05 million units, and the demand scale will be around 7.7 billion yuan.

As the technical barrier, the key components of industrial robots - reducer can be divided into five categories according to the structure: harmonic gear reducer, cycloid reducer, RV reducer, precision reducer and filter gear reducer. Among them, RV reducer and harmonic reducer are the most popular precision reducers for industrial robots. RV reducers have gradually replaced harmonic reducers in advanced robot transmissions.

Looking around the world, the robot reducer market is monopolized by Japanese companies, and other countries have limited strength. According to statistics, Japan’s three Japanese companies, Sumitomo, Nabtesco, and Hamernako, occupy more than 80% of the global market share and are in an absolute monopoly position.

At present, 75% of the world's precision reducer market is occupied by Hamernako and Nabtesco in Japan. Among them, Nabtesco produces RV reducer, which accounts for about 60% of the market. Hamernaco produces a harmonic reducer. , about 15% share. Japan's speed reducer technology has always been a long way ahead of the industry and has dominated the industry for many years. Even the famous international "four major families of industrial robots" such as ABB, Fanuc, Yaskawa, and Kuka have been using Japan's Nabtesco. ) and Harmonic é„„ Drive reducer of these two companies.

In contrast, although China's robot reducer manufacturers have increased their investment in recent years, there is still some distance from mass production. The future may depend on the domestic robot companies to drive the market monopoly.

The robot industry is currently the most watched industry, and the development space is self-evident. Precision reducer is the most important functional component in industrial robots and is a crucial application link in the robot industry chain.

According to the forecast of the national authoritative department, from 2015 to 2018, the newly increased demand for industrial robots in China will reach 236,000 sets, 296,000 sets, 369,000 sets and 462,000 sets. In addition, for industrial robots held in the domestic market, which are calculated for a typical service life of 8 to 10 years, the market demand for precision speed reducers in the country will exceed 1 million units in the future, and annual market sales will exceed 10 billion yuan.

Industry insiders believe that, as a whole, the prospects for the robotic reducer industry are promising and the potential demand is huge. To this end, domestic manufacturers are increasing their efforts in the area of ​​distribution, including listed companies such as Qinchuan Machine Tool Co., Ltd., Shuanghuan Transmission Co., Ltd., and Han's Laser Co., Ltd., and have been catching up with the localization of reducers.

As an indispensable transmission equipment in modernization, the speed reducer is widely used in various fields of the national economy. For the robot industry, the speed reducer is a crucial application link in the industrial chain. Thanks to the rise of the robot industry, the development of the robot reducer industry is expected to enter the fast lane. In the future, driven by industrial robots, China's robotic reducer industry is expected to usher in rapid development and market demand will continue to be released. However, for domestic companies, the development of localization is still a long way to go. In the future, it can be properly tilted to a harmonic reducer to achieve a curve overtaking.

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