In the recent market, warm winds are blowing frequently, and internal combustion engine companies closely related to the national economy appear to have shown signs of warming. In January, the monthly production of FAW Xichai increased from more than 5,000 units to more than 10,000 units, and the growth rate exceeded 200%; Weichai’s engine market orders exceeded 30,000 units in February, and in March it was as high as 40,000 units. The best level of history has been achieved; in February, Yuchai won nearly 60,000 engine orders, and it is expected that the number of orders obtained in March will return to the level of the same period in 2008; the production and sales volume of China National Heavy Duty Truck Group will also be available in March. Create a new high......
The data shows that the market warms up quickly and slowly
Has the market really stabilized and gotten warmer? The reporter opened the latest edition of the “China's auto industry production and sales newsletterâ€. Take the trucking industry that is most relevant to this country’s investment-driven economic policy as an example. In the month of February, the overall sales of trucks increased by 53.91% year-on-year, of which the year-on-year growth of heavy trucks, medium trucks, light trucks, and mini trucks was 32.44%, 98.06%, 44.32% and 79.52%; while cumulative sales from January to February increased only 12.37% year-on-year, of which heavy trucks -17.73%.
After analyzing the relevant data on the diesel engine market of the supporting trucks in February, it can be seen that the major diesel engine companies Middle East Wind Co., Weichai Co., Dongfeng Chaochai Co., Ltd. are all negative growth; and Shandong Laidong, Anhui Quanchai, Jiangxi Jiangling, and Kunming. Several enterprises such as Yunnei and Yangchai, which are supporting light trucks and agricultural vehicles, have seen significant growth. This can be explained at least in terms of data: The market does experience warming, but the extent of warming is different; because orders are not actual sales, some of the data and the company's own description of a larger difference.
Then, why is the market trending? “The current heavy-duty vehicle market has indeed recovered, mainly because the national infrastructure has boosted the demand for construction vehicles (such as dump trucks), and there is no tractor-based product that is based on logistics transportation. A lot of improvement.†Liu Wei, Manager of Brand Planning Department of Weichai Power Co., Ltd., told reporters, “From a production perspective, the output of heavy-duty auto companies in the fourth quarter of 2008 was extremely low, and the inventory was already consumed in March this year. Manufacturers began to prepare for production of supplementary stocks."
It is not difficult to see that the improvement in the situation of the above-mentioned several heavy-duty diesel engine companies is related to the market itself and production arrangements.
The "car to the countryside" policy has become apparent
Although the details of the "car to the countryside" policy were not published, the reporter learned from many parties that the role of this policy implemented since March 1 has begun to appear. The reporter learned from a market personage of Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Co., Ltd. that, for Dongfeng Company itself, the light truck segment is obviously better than the heavy truck segment. Especially since March, with the central government’s continued attention to the rural economy and the market’s expectation of the “automobile to the countryside†policy, the overall sales volume of light trucks has increased significantly.
The reporter learned from a person who is engaged in the diesel car accessories market that the models under 4100 of the diesel engine companies are relatively popular, and the main objects of these models are the low-end models of agricultural vehicles and light vehicles.
The information obtained from various companies is consistent with the production and sales report of China National Automobile Association. That is, the government’s policy of stimulating domestic demand and stimulating the economy has indeed played a role, and this effect has become even more pronounced on micro and light vehicles.
More optimistic about the second half of the market
There are also different views on the current market warming. A leader of the National Association of Commercial Vehicle Fittings Market told reporters that the warming of light vehicles and related parts and components markets is not only affected by the “automobile going to the countryside†policy. He believes that the implementation of the implementation of the delay will begin on July 1 this year. The implementation of the three standards for light diesel vehicles may be the most direct cause of the market's early start. His statement was also supported by an expert from the China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association.
When it comes to the continuing problem of the current market warming, the leader of the Merchants Association also expressed concern: "Continuity is hard to guarantee. Because production and consumption are two different areas, different from the passenger car market, 'car “There is still a problem of local protection in the countryside. This kind of sign has already emerged. Only large companies with extensive marketing networks in the country will have more opportunities in the future.â€
Liu Chai of Weichai put forward his point of view: Whether the market heat can continue or not depends on whether national and local infrastructure projects can be sustained or not. Second, whether national and local governments can introduce further stimulus and promote market policies. , For example, the "Yellow Label Vehicle" that has been issued in Beijing has changed its "Green Label Vehicle" policy. As for whether the logistics and transportation market can be started, Liu Hao said that in the short term, there is no indication that the demand for logistics will increase.
The market personage of Dongfeng Commercial Vehicle Company believes that the national investment of 4 trillion yuan will require a process. After May and June, the market should have obvious improvement.
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